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Kamis, 11 Juli 2013

PNB's KR Kamath leads bank chiefs’ clamour for a cut in policy rate

MUMBAI: Punjab National BankBSE 1.29 % ( PNBBSE 1.29 %) chairman KR

Kamath led chief executives' call for a reduction in cash reserve

requirement if the central bank is serious about lowering borrowing

costs in the system, but voices seeking interest rate cut were feeble.



Demand for a cut in the repo rate, the rate at which the central bank

lends to banks, which has been a constant for nearly two years, is

fast vanishing from the thoughts of the industry as the currency slide

makes it meaningless. There are fears that a sustained fall in the

value of the currency could force the central bank to reverse its

stance and raise borrowing costs.



"We asked RBI to give relief on CRR and repo rate, and also asked RBI

to pay interest on CRR," Kamath told reporters after the customary

pre-monetary policy meeting with central bank officials. "We also

asked RBI to relax provisioning norms on restructured assets."

Quarterly monetary policy is scheduled to be released on July 30.



The near 12% slide of the Indian rupee since May is threatening to fan

inflation in the form of higher diesel and coal prices. Inflation as

measured by the WPI which fell below 5% may begin to climb again

throwing a spanner in the works. Industry, government and investors

have been lobbying for interest rate cuts to reverse the slump in

economic growth.



The repo rate is at 7.25% and the CRR, the proportion of deposits to

be kept at the RBI, is at 4%. "If the rupee remains at its current

levels (rupee averages .`58 per US$), average WPI inflation for

2013-14 would be closer to 6% rather than our baseline forecast of

5.3%," forecasts CrisilBSE 0.20 %, a rating company.



With little clarity on the way the Federal Reserve may go, governor

Duvvuri Subbarao could opt to pause on July 30. "While slowing growth

does call for a rate cut, a sharp rupee depreciation of 12% against

the dollar since April 13 and rising capital outflows of $8.8 billion

since May 22, would likely restrict rate cuts in the near term,

especially till the Fed's Sep 17 meeting," Religare Capital said in a

note.



Abank chief who did not want to be quoted said that bankers conveyed

to RBI that a cut in CRR will send a positive signal to corporates

that interest rates are moving southward and it will also enable them

to lower lending rates.



Last week, a few banks like Bank of India, Union Bank of IndiaBSE 1.91

% and Canara BankBSE 1.74 % cut lending rates due to pressure from

finance ministry. During the meeting with RBI, banks indicated that a

cut in CRR will result in a further reduction in lending rate.



In the past, SBIBSE 1.74 % chief Pratip Chaudhuri has categorically

said that the bank will be in a position to lower rate only if RBI

cuts CRR. SBI has pegged its base rate — the floor rate at which it

lends — stands at 9.70%.



During the meeting, bankers also told RBI that considers a reduction

in provisioning norms for restructured loans. As per the revised

guidelines banks have to make a provision of 5% for new restructured

loans and 3.50% on all the old restructured loans from March 2014.



Bankers told senior RBI officials that these provisioning requirements

are very steep given that the economy is facing a slowdown.

Restructured loans constitute 5-6% of banks' loan book.

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